Arizona Cardinals (+6) at CAROLINA PANTHERS (38): This crushes me, but as much of a fanboy as I'd like to be, the Cardinals are one-and-done. Why in the hell didn't they go out and get another quarterback? Maybe the front office realized that unless Kurt Warner had a time machine, with the lack of a solid running game this team wasn't going to go deep anyway, so why waste the cash and/or pick? As long as Lindley checks down and avoids mistakes, it'll stay close for the first half, but the Arizona defense is going to be gassed by the end of the third. Panthers 26, Cardinals 13.
Baltimore Ravens (+3) at PITTSBURGH STEELERS (45.5): The Ravens are overrated. The Steelers don't have Le'Veon Bell and are starting Josh Harris, a undrafted rookie running back so nondescript that ESPN's story on the situation mistakenly links to Atlanta longsnapper Josh Harris. Is that a wash? No, because Pittsburgh still have Antonio Brown and Ben Roethlisberger to throw for a bajillion yards, and the Ravens will find out between Harris and Dre Archer, Pitssburgh will be just fine. Steelers 30, Ravens 19.
Detroit Lions (+6.5) at DALLAS COWBOYS (48): Interesting stat -- Matthew Stafford is 0-16 in his career on the road against a team with a winning record. I'm not sure how much stock I put into that, but even Megatron went crazy the last time these two teams played, he still only scored one TD. Even with the ever-present spectre of a ROMOMENT (trademark pending), I like Dallas. Cowboys 27, Lions 20.
Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5) at INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (49): After that recent primetime win, is the monkey off Andy Dalton's back? Probably not, but I'm taking the team with the kickass running game, and that ain't Indy. Bengals 24, Colts 22.
Lock of the Week: Carolina
Trifecta: Carolina, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh.