Green Bay (+8) at SEATTLE (46): We saw what happens when a quarterback plays on one leg last week. No, not Rodgers -- Manning, who probably shouldn't have even suited up. Now look at Rodgers, who has put another week of wear on that calf injury.
This is a much tougher defense than Dallas, and Rodgers is going to be forced to move around, and he'll be hit. Green Bay will make the cover, but I don't think this game is even that close. Seahawks 23, Packers 16.
Indianapolis (+6.5) at NEW ENGLAND (53.5): I simply can't pick against the Patriots and Tom Brady any more. If New England wins this Super Bowl, he is the greatest coach who ever coached. Not John Wooden, not Vince Lombardi, not anyone else.
If this roster were in any other city, fans would be howling for the GM's head, yet Belichick devises ways to make Brady as effective as possible and squeeze every drop out of the castoffs he has. I would love to see Belichick take over the worst Arena League team and see what he could do in a year. Or even better -- the Raiders! Patriots 29, Colts 20.